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The US #CDCβs page on #2019-nCoV: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/index.html
As @clacke@libranet.de pointed out, the Wuhan outbreak currently has an estimated fatality rate of 2%, which is extremely high. Fortunately, it has only infected a very small number of people.
Compare to its relative #SARS which struck around 8,000 people over a period of a year or two, killing nearly 10%.
In either case, due to the high death rate, the key thing is to contain its spread, so it doesnβt become widespread like influenza.
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Also there, a 2nd US case confirmed on 2020-01-24, this time in #IL. Like the first, the traveler had recently been to Wuhan, China.
Also, there's no way to know yet whether further analysis will show a much lower death rate (e.g., many more infections where the person never felt sick enough to bother going to the doctor).
(Shared because I have seen some people who already seem spooked over this.)
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3rd confirmed US case #2019-nCoV #coronavirus https://nypost.com/2020/01/26/california-now-home-to-third-us-case-of-coronavirus/ in #SoCal's #Orange_County
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#NYPost: Chinese nurse whistleblower claims 90K infected with #2019-nCoV. https://nypost.com/2020/01/26/coronavirus-whistleblower-nurse-says-china-has-90000-sick/
I personally think this level of infection would be difficult to hide for more than a few days. Despite quarantine rules, people in the hardest hit areas would probably start fleeing by foot looking for ways to save themselves.
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(Link came from a post by feld.)
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Based on the Taiwanese newspaper capturing the temporary leak of "real" numbers, (154,000 infected and 24,500 killed ... see https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3871594 ) this was probably an overestimate, but probably not over 2-3X the actual numbers at the time.
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@clacke@libranet.de@libranet.de True.
LinuxWalt (@lnxw48a1) {3EB165E0-5BB1-45D2-9E7D-93B31821F864}
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